Thursday, 1 January 2015

Predictions for 2015 (and how'd I do predicting 2014?)


At the end of 2013 I wrote a blog having a stab at predicting what might happen in 2014. Let's see how well I fared then, and then I'll have a go at seeing how 2015 might shape up.

Here's what I wrote in Predictions for 2014:

1) Which classic TV show will be remade in 2014?
- Kev's guess(es): The Likely Lads, Doomwatch, Catweazle, Crackerjack, The Young Ones.
WRONG, 5 times over

2) Which TV shows will be cancelled in 2014?
- Doctor Who, The X Factor, Downton Abbey, Hollyoaks, Atlantis.
WRONG, 5 more times over

3) Who will surprise by getting their own hit TV series?
- Justin Lee Collins, Rolf Harris, Bobby Davro, Millicent Martin, Katie Puckrick.
WRONG 5 times - one WAY wronger than all the rest! (Can you tell which it is yet?)

4) What new movie franchise will be announced/made?
- Strontium Dog, Heros The Spartan, Captain Pugwash, Robot Archie, Tales From Tollgate School.
WRONG, another 5 times



5) How much will litre of petrol cost in Dec '14 (currently approx £1.30)? *
- £1.30 again
WRONG. The price has dropped to around £1.15

6) Who will win Edinburgh Comedy Award 2014?
a) Best act? b) Best newcomer?
a) Posh boy from Cambridge b) Posh girl from Cambridge
a) WRONG (John Kearns went to UEA) b) WRONG (Alex Edelman is a male New Yorker)

7) Celeb on the Slab?
- Piers Morgan
WRONG (there was a lot of wishful thinking and not a lot of common sense in these guesses, wasn't there?)

8) Who will win the 2014 Eurovision Song Contest?
- FYR Macedonia
WRONG, Austria

9) Who will put themselves forward to be Mayor of London?
- Rebecca Brooks
Thankfully WRONG. Though Jeremy Paxman looks like being right, who predicted that?

10) Who will play The Master in Doctor Who?
- Tom Hiddleston
Soooooooo WRONG! It was Michelle Gomez, best Master ever.

11) Result of the Scottish Independence vote?
- Stay in. 75%.
My first RIGHT answer. Percentage was 55%

12) Who will be Labour leader at end of 2014?
- Chukka Umunna
WRONG. Still Ed Miliband, bless him.

13) Will any countries leave the Euro? If so who?
- Yes, Portugal, irreconcilable differences.
WRONG. Mostly likely was Greece, but not yet.

14) Surprise country to have a revolution/uprising? 
- Yes, Qatar.
WRONG. Ukraine would have been a better guess. And no-one predicted ISIS

15) What will be surprise invention/technicological advance?
- A clamshell smartphone.
WRONG. Probably microwave engines for spaceships, wasn't it?

16) Will average UK house prices rise or fall by Dec '14?
- Rise.
RIGHT. In London they'd risen 19% by June.

17) Biggest scandal
- Ted Heath child murderer.
WRONG. Although this one gets closer to being uncovered, it would appear.

18) Band to split up?
- One Direction.
WRONG. More of that wishful thinking. It was rumoured in August but didn't happen.

19) Biggest weather news
- Most average year on record.
WRONG. Warmest year on record.

20) Christmas Number 1
- Band Aid 30
 WRONG. I was half right, in that they did make the record, but it was the least successful of the franchise and was knocked off the number one spot in November. Ouch.

2 out of 20, not so good. So to 2015, what do I think will happen? 20 more questions and answers:



1) Which classic TV show remake will be announced in 2015?
The Avengers
2) Which TV show will be cancelled in 2015?
Newsnight
3) Who will surprise by getting their own hit TV series?
Selina Scott
4) What new movie franchise will be announced/made?
Ally Sloper
5) How much will litre of petrol cost in Dec '15 (currently approx £1.15)? 
Up to £1.30
6) Who will win Edinburgh Comedy Award 2015?
a) Best act? b) Best newcomer?
a) Funz and Gamez  b) A Cambridge Footlighter
7) Celeb on the Slab?
Prince Philip, doing Top Gear's Star In A Reasonably Priced Car
8) Who will win the 2015 Eurovision Song Contest?
Ukraine
9) Who will put themselves forward to be Mayor of London?
Mike Read
10) Who will be confirmed as showrunner for season 10 of Doctor Who?
Still Steven Moffat
11) Who will be a surprise candidate in the 2016 US Presidential Election?
 Oprah Winfrey
12) Who will be Labour leader at end of 2015?
Still Ed Miliband (or, wild card guess, Ed is assassinated before the election so Chuka Umuna becomes new leader and Labour win by a sympathetic landslide)
13) Result of the 2015 UK General Election?
Labour party in coalition with SNP, Greens, Sinn Fein and Liberals
14) Surprise country to have a revolution/uprising?
Norway
15) What will be surprise invention/technicological advance?
Silicone chips inside our heads that switch to overload
16) Will average UK house prices rise or fall by Dec '15?
Rise by 5%
17) Biggest scandal
The Guardian turns out to have conspired in big cover-up in the 1980s
18) Band to split up?
U2
19) Biggest weather news
Wettest summer in 20 years
20) Christmas Number 1
The last ever X Factor winner

See you back here in 12 months to see how I did. Here, should you be interested, is how well I did in predicting 2012, and here's the same for 2011.

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